After the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, Pixalate sought to determine programmatic ad trends within both Russia and Ukraine.
Programmatic ad spend* in Ukraine grew two times over the three-week period prior to the invasion by Russia, reaching its maximum on Feb. 19 (x2.24 compared to December 1, 2021). After the invasion, by the end of February, ad spend in Ukraine dropped out and reached the year-to-date minimum.
Russia’s positive trend throughout January and February was reversed by the introduction of several U.S. economic sanctions after February 24th.
Programmatic ad spend in Russia is approximately five times that of Ukraine, on average. However, at the beginning of March 2022, Russia's was 10 times higher than Ukraine's.
Programmatic Ad Trends during Conflict Times
The beginning of 2021 brought a positive trend in programmatic ad spend in Ukraine, as shown in Graph 1 above. In fact, the growth rate in the first three weeks of February was strong. On February 19th, one day before the Russian invasion, programmatic advertising reached its year maximum. Not surprisingly, ad spending dropped precipitously right after the start of the conflict, going from x2.24 times to x0.58 times the size, compared to December 2021.
During the same period of time, ad spend in Russia saw a slightly positive trend during January and February that was reversed by the introduction of the first U.S. economic sanctions imposed on February 24th (see gray bar areas). Since then, there has been a negative trend that seems to be directly affected by each new U.S.-imposed sanction.
We found a 30% spike in global ad spend over the first four days of March 2022, in comparison to December 2021. During this same four-day window, ad spend in Russia and Ukraine continued to drop.
How big are these two markets and how have they changed?
Programmatic advertising in Russia is approximately five times the size of that of Ukraine, according to Pixalate’s data. This relative size was maintained throughout January and February, the months prior to the conflict. However, by the beginning of March 2022, Ukraine's market lost most of its share. By March 3, 2022, Russia's market share was 10 times higher than Ukraine's.
* Programmatic ad sales, as measured by Pixalate, are used as a proxy for ad spend.
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Per the MRC,
“'Fraud' is not intended to represent fraud as defined in various laws, statutes and ordinances or as conventionally used in U.S. Court or other
legal proceedings, but rather a custom definition strictly for advertising measurement purposes. Also per the MRC,
“‘Invalid Traffic’ is defined generally as traffic
that does not meet certain ad serving quality or completeness criteria, or otherwise does not represent legitimate ad traffic that should be included in measurement counts.
Among the reasons why ad traffic may be deemed invalid is it is a result of non-human traffic (spiders, bots, etc.), or activity designed to produce fraudulent traffic.”